Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.058953 0.063820 0.068740 0.074078 0.079698 0.085433 0.091720
2025-02-16 0.053307 0.060654 0.068329 0.076917 0.086230 0.095998 0.106990
2025-02-23 0.045303 0.054091 0.063564 0.074472 0.086622 0.099680 0.114711
2025-03-02 0.039867 0.049757 0.060727 0.073681 0.088449 0.104651 0.123658
2025-03-09 0.035558 0.046267 0.058461 0.073199 0.090348 0.109504 0.132345
2025-03-16 0.033537 0.045213 0.058809 0.075556 0.095371 0.117827 0.144948
2025-03-23 0.031270 0.043645 0.058370 0.076837 0.099033 0.124523 0.155673
2025-03-30 0.029134 0.042051 0.057741 0.077757 0.102166 0.130543 0.165591
2025-04-06 0.026713 0.039911 0.056281 0.077523 0.103802 0.134720 0.173300
2025-04-13 0.025470 0.039186 0.056504 0.079295 0.107824 0.141715 0.184358
2025-04-20 0.023282 0.037060 0.054813 0.078553 0.108665 0.144821 0.190729
2025-04-27 0.021756 0.035722 0.054049 0.078907 0.110804 0.149462 0.198933
2025-05-04 0.020677 0.034970 0.054051 0.080279 0.114294 0.155873 0.209463
2025-05-11 0.020278 0.035147 0.055285 0.083265 0.119867 0.164914 0.223304
2025-05-18 0.017927 0.032363 0.052376 0.080673 0.118202 0.164893 0.225958
2025-05-25 0.016374 0.030647 0.050843 0.079833 0.118733 0.167575 0.231933
2025-06-01 0.015057 0.029196 0.049603 0.079320 0.119639 0.170697 0.238444
2025-06-08 0.014751 0.029289 0.050552 0.081811 0.124528 0.178923 0.251422
2025-06-15 0.014134 0.028847 0.050696 0.083164 0.127897 0.185214 0.261989
2025-06-22 0.013453 0.028256 0.050586 0.084136 0.130743 0.190836 0.271734
2025-06-29 0.012493 0.027142 0.049647 0.083889 0.131908 0.194262 0.278680
2025-07-06 0.012143 0.027027 0.050195 0.085760 0.135964 0.201477 0.290519
2025-07-13 0.011163 0.025765 0.048936 0.084977 0.136341 0.203846 0.296115